Development of Prediction Models for Fatal Accidents using Proactive Information in Construction Sites 


Vol. 36,  No. 3, pp. 31-39, Jun.  2021
10.14346/JKOSOS.2021.36.3.31


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  Abstract

In Korea, more than half of work-related fatalities have occurred on construction sites. To reduce such occupational accidents, safety inspection by government agencies is essential in construction sites that present a high risk of serious accidents. To address this issue, this study developed risk prediction models of serious accidents in construction sites using five machine learning methods: support vector machine, random forest, XGBoost, LightGBM, and AutoML. To this end, 15 proactive information (e.g., number of stories and period of construction) that are usually available prior to construction were considered and two over-sampling techniques (SMOTE and ADASYN) were used to address the problem of classimbalanced data. The results showed that all machine learning methods achieved 0.876~0.941 in the F1-score with the adoption of over-sampling techniques. LightGBM with ADASYN yielded the best prediction performance in both the F1-score (0.941) and the area under the ROC curve (0.941). The prediction models revealed four major features: number of stories, period of construction, excavation depth, and height. The prediction models developed in this study can be useful both for government agencies in prioritizing construction sites for safety inspection and for construction companies in establishing pre-construction preventive measures.

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[IEEE Style]

최승주, 김진현, 정기효, "Development of Prediction Models for Fatal Accidents using Proactive Information in Construction Sites," Journal of the Korean Society of Safety, vol. 36, no. 3, pp. 31-39, 2021. DOI: 10.14346/JKOSOS.2021.36.3.31.

[ACM Style]

최승주, 김진현, and 정기효. 2021. Development of Prediction Models for Fatal Accidents using Proactive Information in Construction Sites. Journal of the Korean Society of Safety, 36, 3, (2021), 31-39. DOI: 10.14346/JKOSOS.2021.36.3.31.

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